Aegis Value Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

AVALX Fund  USD 69.15  0.33  0.48%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.25, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aegis Value are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Aegis Value is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aegis Value Fund are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak essential indicators, Aegis Value showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date30th of April 2025
Expense Ratio1.4500
  

Aegis Value Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,671  in Aegis Value Fund on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,244  from holding Aegis Value Fund or generate 21.94% return on investment over 90 days. Aegis Value Fund is currently producing 0.3397% returns and takes up 1.3227% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Aegis, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aegis Value is expected to generate 1.74 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.74 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Aegis Value Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
69.15
Please note that Aegis Value's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Aegis Value Fund shows a prevailing Real Value of $67.44 per share. The current price of the fund is $69.15. We determine the value of Aegis Value Fund from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Aegis Value is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Aegis Mutual Fund. However, Aegis Value's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  69.15 Real  67.44 Hype  69.15 Naive  70.82
The intrinsic value of Aegis Value's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Aegis Value's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
67.44
Real Value
76.07
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Aegis Value Fund helps investors to forecast how Aegis mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Aegis Value more accurately as focusing exclusively on Aegis Value's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.0167.5770.60
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.8369.1570.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
69.4970.8272.14
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Aegis Value Fund extending back to June 29, 2000. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Aegis Value stands at 69.15, as last reported on the 26th of February, with the highest price reaching 69.15 and the lowest price hitting 69.15 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Aegis Value Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aegis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 69.15 90 days 69.15 
roughly 2.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aegis Value to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.97 (This Aegis Value Fund probability density function shows the probability of Aegis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aegis Value Fund has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aegis Value are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aegis Value Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aegis Value Fund has an alpha of 0.3769, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aegis Value Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aegis Value

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aegis Value Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.8369.1570.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.1267.4476.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.4970.8272.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.0167.5770.60
Details

Aegis Value Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aegis Value is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aegis Value's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aegis Value Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aegis Value within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
4.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Aegis Value Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aegis Value for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aegis Value Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Aegis Value Fundamentals Growth

Aegis Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aegis Value, and Aegis Value fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aegis Mutual Fund performance.

About Aegis Value Performance

Evaluating Aegis Value's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Aegis Value has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Aegis Value has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in common stocks that the funds investment advisor believes are significantly undervalued relative to the market based on fundamental accounting measures including book value , revenues, or cash flow. It has no percentage allocation for investments in small- or mid-capitalization companies, and the fund may invest up to 100 percent of its portfolio in the securities of these companies.

Things to note about Aegis Value Fund performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aegis Value for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Aegis Value Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Aegis Value's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aegis Value's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Aegis Value's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aegis Value's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aegis Value's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aegis Value's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aegis Value's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aegis Value's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Aegis Value's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aegis Value's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aegis Value's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Aegis Mutual Fund

Aegis Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aegis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aegis with respect to the benefits of owning Aegis Value security.
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Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon